Ongoing

AI Infrastructure and the New Real Estate Frontier #960

What we cover:

• The three forces driving the buildout. Compute demand grows 4–10x per model generation. The power grid is being rebuilt from the ground up. And the CHIPS Act triggered the largest reshoring of semiconductor manufacturing in U.S. history. All three forces require physical land in specific American markets.

• Where it’s concentrating. Virginia and Texas lead, but 64% of capacity under construction is in frontier markets most investors haven’t found — Indiana, Louisiana, West Texas, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania. We walk the map tier by tier and name the anchor projects.

• What happens when a campus arrives. A 1 GW campus brings 1,500–2,000 construction workers to markets that weren’t prepared. Data centers become the largest local taxpayers in many counties. Housing supply in most frontier markets is nowhere near ready.

• Ground truth from the field. We’ve been inside one of these markets since before the crowd showed up, and we share what the early signals actually looked like on the ground.